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Orchard Therapeutics’ (NASDAQ: ORTX) Shares Skyrocket: How To Predict Biotech M&A

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Orchard Therapeutics (NASDAQ: ORTX) experienced a remarkable 97% surge in its shares following a major announcement on October 5th, 2023. The renowned global gene therapy leader, Orchard, has been successfully acquired by Kyowa Kirin (OTC: KYKOF), solidifying its position as a fully owned subsidiary.

The Agreement:

The agreement outlines that Kyowa plans to buy all Orchard Therapeutics’ shares at $16.00 per share in cash (totalling about $387.4 million or around ¥57.3 billion) upon closure. This price is a 144% premium to Orchard’s previous value at close on October 4th, 2023.

As part of this deal, Orchard shareholders will receive an additional non-transferable CVR. Holders of the CVR will get a cash payout of $1.00 per share once OTL-200 for treating MLD in the U.S. gains approval.

For those that aren’t familiar, CVR stands for Contingent Value Right. It is a type of financial instrument or contractual right that entitles the holder to a payment or benefit if specific, predefined events or conditions are met. In the context of mergers or acquisitions, CVRs are often used as an additional incentive or compensation to shareholders based on the performance or success of certain agreed-upon benchmarks, such as the approval of a drug, achieving specific sales milestones, or reaching certain financial targets. The CVR allows shareholders to participate in the potential future success of a merged or acquired entity.

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Predicting M&A in Advance:

Now that Orchard has been acquired, it’s probably not in your best interest to be trading it. What’s more important is being able to spot potential merger & acquisitions (M&A) before it happens. While it may seem like a large hurdle, enough research can put you in the right spot at the right time. And if you can do it well, there’s no question you’ll be increasing your earnings. Here’s 3 factors to think about when looking for potential M&A candidates.

1. Misvalued to the Extreme: Celgene’s Journey

Ever noticed how stock prices often have a mind of their own? Let’s talk about Celgene ($CELG), a big shot in the biotech world. Riding high with a super successful blood cancer drug called Revlimid, its stock price shot up from $25 to an incredible $139 between 2010 and 2017. Investors were all in.

But out of nowhere everything shifted. Worries about patents and competition suddenly tanked the stock to $60 within’ just 18 months – the stock had a massive swing in sentiment.

Did the once-celebrated star of the biotech world start hemorrhaging money? Was its revenue in a downward spiral? Far from it… In reality, 2018’s revenue saw only a minor dip from its peak in 2017, all the while the company was generating billions in profit.

Celgene gave it their all, teaming up with respected biotech experts, smart acquisitions of smaller companies with great prospective pipelines – even tried to engage Wall Street Critics, but nothing worked.

This twist in fortune caught the eye of Bristol Myers Squibb (NASDAQ:BMY), a company that values stability over trends. The lowered value of Celgene became a golden opportunity for them. They swooped in, acquiring Celgene, and securing promising assets. This stock market tale is a reminder that timing and how people perceive a situation can flip stock fortunes.

2. Great Science, but Lacking Funding:

Ever thought that a groundbreaking medicine should automatically become a hit? Turns out, it’s not that simple. Bringing a new medicine from idea to people’s medicine cabinets is like running an obstacle course. Yes, having solid science behind it is crucial, but that’s just the beginning. The American healthcare system has its quirks. Insurers need to give a nod, hospitals need to adapt to new methods, and doctors need to be convinced.

This process costs a lot of money—hundreds of millions, even a billion dollars—after all the scientific tests are done.

When you come across a small company that’s shown promising results in phase 2 or even phase 3 trials for a new drug, it’s time to dig into the numbers and dive into their financials. Check their balance sheet and cash flow. If financial jargon isn’t your strong suit, focus on a crucial question: “How fast are they spending their cash each quarter?” For instance, if they’re burning around $25 million per quarter and they only have $75 million left in the bank, alarm bells should ring.

Despite good results, a lack of funds could lead their breakthrough drug to end up in the trash bin. Smart financial moves are essential for turning promising data into real-world medical solutions.

This is where M&A steps in. Big pharma companies, with their knack for navigating red tape, join forces with agile biotech firms. M&A acts like a connector, ensuring innovative medicines actually reach the people who need them.

3. Key Shareholder: End of Career or Fresh Start?”

In the world of biotech, M&A isn’t just business—it’s about people and their journeys. Some founders, after years of battling the unpredictable industry, choose acquisition to secure their life’s work. On the flip side, young, ambitious founders, full of ideas, might be tempted by big corporations promising vast resources.

It’s not uncommon for a biotech company with a promising phase two product and solid data to command a valuation as high as $500 million. At this stage, the founding team has likely toiled in relative obscurity for years and looked to investors to fund their ambitious biotech endeavors.

Retaining majority control as a founder throughout product development is rare due to exorbitant costs. But the founder, or founding group, could retain around 5 to 10% of the company’s shares, possibly making them the largest and most influential shareholders. Hence, if Pfizer proposes to acquire the company for $500 million, that’s $50 million for the 67 year old scientist founder, who might just be tempted to take the giant payout and move to Bora Bora.

Another scenario involves young, inexperienced scientist-founders. This may seem counterintuitive; shouldn’t youth embody boldness?

Sometimes, these founders insist on going all the way. Yet, their inexperience can make them vulnerable to sophisticated corporate pitches. They’re promised abundant resources, a worry-free life, and a chance to change the world by teaming up with a giant like Pfizer.

Despite the allure, merging with massive corporations often stifles once-independent entrepreneurs. Ask anyone who’s sold their company to a corporate behemoth – it often isn’t conducive to the flourishing of once-autonomous entrepreneur.

Conclusion:

These tips can be crucial in spotting potential biotech takeovers, but there are still other factors to consider when piecing everything together. Even then, there’s no guarantee of a surefire deal. But if you  make smart, educated guesses with thorough research, you can reap substantial returns – a little luck doesn’t hurt either.

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Disclosure: We have not been compensated for this article/video. MicroCap Daily is not an investment advisor; this article/video does not provide investment advice. Always do your research, make your own investment decisions, or consult with your nearest financial advisor. This article/video is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. This article/video is our opinion, is meant for informational and educational purposes only, and does not provide investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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BlockQuarry Corp’s (OTC: BLQC) Exponential Growth: Understanding the Phenomenon

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BlockQuarry Corp. (OTC: BLQC) has seen an astonishing surge, with its shares soaring by almost 950% within just a month, rising from November’s lows of $0.016 per share to a high of $0.166 on December 1st, 2023. This exceptional growth has garnered attention within the retail community due to its substantial returns. Amidst this upward trend, the company issued three press releases, complemented by several OTCM filings detailing the company’s quarterly and annual financial reports. Today, an analysis of these releases, filings, and broader market trends will shed light on BLQC’s recent remarkable valuation increase.

Background:

The primary source for comprehensive information about BLQC lies within their website, offering more specific insights compared to their press release ‘about’ sections. Their focus primarily revolves around providing all-in-one eco-friendly crypto mining solutions. This entails offering hosting, mining, energy, expertise, and infrastructure necessary for complete turn-key cryptocurrency mining operations.

BLQC employs a dual cryptocurrency revenue strategy, capitalizing on both mining and hosting income streams. While revenue from internal mining activities fluctuates with specific cryptocurrency prices, their hosting services generate income independently of crypto pricing. This balanced approach ensures steady cash flow growth from operations, regardless of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrency prices.

Although BTC stands as their primary mining target, BLQC appears open to exploring new opportunities in Crypto assets and Blockchain technology. Their Crypto mining operations currently rely on leased renewable energy power generation facilities located in Gaffney, SC, Rutherford, NC, and Mooreshead, NC.

Until March of 2022, the Company also offered management services include managing day-to-day billing and vendor activity for a health care business. Those operations are now classified as discontinued operations.

Market Dynamic:

Bitcoin (BTC) recently soared to a 2023 high, hitting $41,522 due to favorable regulatory shifts and an optimistic market atmosphere. Both the Momentum (10) at 3735.76 and the MACD Level at 1283.69 signal a ‘Buy’ for BTC, indicating potential positive trends ahead. Analysts are hopeful about BTC’s future, buoyed by retail investors’ optimism and the possible approval of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund.

As for crypto miner BLQC, these currency price surges significantly impact their mining profitability. Given BTC’s 150% surge, BLQC anticipates higher margins in their mining operations. The fluctuation of other currencies like ETH, SOL, and XRP,  have also seen substantial gains recently. Suggesting bullish trends and contributing to an overall positive outlook for Cryptocurrency.

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OTCM Filings:

At the core of OTC companies lie their filings. These essential documents demand careful attention and thorough examination to gain a comprehensive understanding of their current status. Often, these OTC companies lack significant press releases or comprehensive websites, compelling investors to delve into their filings. These filings offer in-depth and accurate insights into their performance and fundamental well-being, serving as a crucial resource for investors seeking a clearer picture.

As for BLQC, they have OTCM filings which are less extensive than SEC filings, but are designed to provide investors with some basic financial information. Some OTC companies voluntarily register with the SEC to provide additional transparency and credibility to investors – BLQC does not appear to have done so.

2022 Annual Report:

Upon a preliminary review, the audited annual report for 2022 indicates potential weaknesses in its fundamental health. However, this does not preclude the possibility of the stock gaining momentum. Nevertheless, here are basic key numerical highlights from their Annual Report from 2022:

  • Total Assets USD $5,436,686 vs. USD $10,796,530 December 31, 2021
  • Total Liabilities USD $15,273,941 vs. USD $16,066,782 December 31, 2021
  • Total Revenue USD $5,330,133 vs. USD $959,677 December 31, 2021
  • Net Income Loss USD $(15,426,817) vs. Net Income of USD $3,546,376 December 31, 2021

2023 Financials:

Our initial evaluation, which includes unaudited quarterly results along with highlights from the 9 months ending on September 30th, 2023, indicates potential weaknesses in the company’s fundamental health. However their bottom line at least saw improvement. Here’s a concise overview of the figures:

  • Total Assets: USD $2,944,195 compared to USD $5,436,686 as of December 31, 2022
  • Total Liabilities: USD $10,343,408 compared to USD $15,273,941 as of December 31, 2022
  • Total Revenue for the 9 months ending September 30th, 2023 USD $922,192 compared to USD $3,676,160 for the same period in 2022
  • Net Income Loss for the 9 months ending September 30th, 2023 (USD $4,110,673) compared to (USD $8,398,772) for the same period in 2022

BLQC is currently experiencing a high growth phase, it’s not surprising to witness its fundamental financial health in a challenging situation, especially given the significant changes BLQC has been through since 2022.

There are undoubtedly several other factors that could potentially contribute to the company’s positive momentum. Let’s proceed with the evaluation of another OTCM filing.

OTCQB Certification:

BLQC put out an OTCQB certification filing. This filing essentially applies for and fulfills the necessary requirements to be listed on the OTCQB market tier.

Being listed on the OTCQB can offer benefits such as increased visibility, more stringent reporting standards, better access to investors, and potentially improved liquidity. It’s seen as a more regulated and credible marketplace compared to the Pink tier, which often provides investors with increased confidence in the company’s operations and financial reporting.

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Press Releases:

Considering the substantial recent gain, let’s examine the last three press releases, disseminated within’ the last month to evaluate their potential connection to the recent surge.

Regains Possession of Gaffney Mining Assets:

BLQC recently reached a settlement agreement for the case of Blockquarry Corp v. Litchain Corp, marking a significant victory for the company. Reclaiming essential mining assets in South Carolina allows BLQC to regain control over crucial equipment necessary for their operations. President and Chair Alozno Pierce’s positive outlook and the outlined plans for debt consolidation and asset management signify a strategic move toward enhancing the company’s financial stability and operational efficiency. Their focus on relocating assets to a new site in Missouri and plans to reduce dilutive debt with settlement proceeds position BLQC for operational expansion and stronger financial footing. Pierce’s commitment to providing further updates indicates transparency and a forward-looking approach, signaling good prospects for BLQC’s future growth and success.

New Management:

BLQC is looking to propel operational growth and appointed Lawrence Davis as Chief Operating Officer (COO) and Sam Escobar as Director of Ground Operations, reinforcing its commitment to advancing in the Energy and Infrastructure sector. Davis, a military veteran and entrepreneur, brings substantial experience in executive consulting, security, and digital assets. More recently Davis entrepreneurial journey led to the founding and establishment of a digital assets fund, Wandering King Studios, a software company specializing in Web 3 product offerings and digital assets.

Escobar, also a decorated veteran, excels in executive consulting and blockchain technology, showcasing expertise in operational scaling. Pierce expresses confidence in Escobar’s alignment with BlockQuarry’s vision for growth. Notably, Escobar’s contributions have been instrumental in establishing and scaling multiple companies, showcasing his operational prowess in growing profitable entities. His expertise extends to blockchain technology and digital asset management, as founder of a software protocol that is currently being used in gaming and augmented reality training and as an active board member of a well-established digital assets CPO fund.

With their leadership, BlockQuarry aims for innovative and successful operations in the public markets.

Revenue Growth:

BLQC updates on the success of its new Missouri site under COO Lawrence Davis and Chairman Alonzo Pierce. Since becoming COO, Davis has focused on innovation and growth, overseeing the launch of BlockQuarry’s self-mining site in Macon, Missouri.

Pierce commended the swift site transition post-Gaffney court ruling, highlighting confidence in Davis’s leadership. The Macon site’s current operations feature two pods, projecting an annual revenue of approximately $1.4 million – $1.7 million. BlockQuarry plans to scale up to four pods by year-end, with the site designed for immediate scalability, targeting 9 MW of operational power and an annual revenue of $3 million – $3.4 million.

Davis noted the site’s importance in accelerating BlockQuarry’s growth and showcasing expertise to prospective clients and public markets. The Company pledges continuous updates on its Missouri operations, revenue projections, and additional projects, reinforcing its commitment to enhancing operations and value for shareholders.

Conclusion:

BLQC has taken substantial strides forward by closing the chapter with Litchain Corp, enabling operational efficiencies. With the addition of strong operational executives, there’s potential for enhanced financial performance. Despite recent financials not depicting optimal health, other releases suggest positive progress. The surge in BTC has provided a favorable environment for crypto miners, including BLQC, potentially leading to improved financial performance due to higher margins. While it might still be early, the latest investor optimism, potential OTC tier upgrade, bolstered management team, and advancements at the Missouri Site indicate a promising trajectory for BLQC. Keep an eye on them by adding them to your watch list.

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Disclosure: We have not been compensated for this article/video. MicroCap Daily is not an investment advisor; this article/video does not provide investment advice. Always do your research, make your own investment decisions, or consult with your nearest financial advisor. This article/video is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. This article/video is our opinion, is meant for informational and educational purposes only, and does not provide investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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BioPharma

Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics’ (NASDAQ: BCLI) Post-Setback Resurgence: Unpacking FDA Impact & Market Expectations

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Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics (NASDAQ: BCLI) continues to gain momentum with a surge of over 125% since its low on October 31st, 2023. Following an unfavourable FDA decision on its ALS treatment, the stock hit an all-time low of $0.13 per share. Nethertheless, the stock experienced a significant rebound today, November 30th, 2023, rising by 26%, without accompanying press releases or SEC filings.

This resurgence prompts us to evaluate the possibilities for yet another company struggling to meet NASDAQ’s minimum bid requirements. A closer examination of recent months reveals intriguing developments that might pique the interest of potential investors. Our findings suggest BCLI holds promising near term prospects that could significantly alter its course.

Background:

BCLI specializes in developing therapies that utilize a patient’s own stem cells to combat severe neurodegenerative ailments like Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) and progressive Multiple Sclerosis (MS). ALS affects nerve cells in the brain and spinal cord, while MS affects the central nervous system, causing problems with vision, balance, and muscle control.

The company holds exclusive global rights for the clinical advancement and commercialization of the NurOwn® technology platform, enabling the production of autologous MSC-NTF cells. These cells have received significant recognition and were awarded Orphan Drug designation by both the FDA and the European Medicines Agency (EMA).

Autologous MSC-NTF cells:

The way Autologous MSC-NTF cells work is very interesting. They’re a specific cell type obtained from an individual’s mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs). These cells are then genetically altered to produce neurotrophic factors (NTFs), which are designed to support and stimulate the growth and survival of nerve cells within the nervous system.

BrainStorm has conducted a Phase 3 clinical trial (NCT03280056) investigating the safety and effectiveness of multiple doses of autologous MSC-NTF cells for ALS. This trial received support from the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine, the ALS Association, and I AM ALS. Additionally, the company completed a Phase 2 open-label multicenter trial (NCT03799718) for progressive MS using these cells, backed by a grant from the National MS Society (NMSS).

Back to Square One:

Unfortunately for BCLI, 17 FDA advisory panel members voted that the data presented for their Phase 3 clinical trial for ALS did not demonstrate substantial evidence of the effectiveness of NurOwn for the treatment of mild-to-moderate ALS. There was simply only one member who voted in favour and another member that abstained from voting entirely.

Predictably, this resulted in a substantial downturn in the company’s share price, causing BCLI to plummet 87% below NASDAQ’s minimum bid compliance threshold of $1.00.

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Is it Over?:

To those not well-versed in this matter, it might appear as if BCLI is forced to throw in the towel and start everything from scratch, but the reality is actually quite different.

When a drug fails in clinical trials, the pharmaceutical company or researchers typically reassess the data to understand why the drug failed.

They might conduct further analysis to determine if there were unforeseen side effects, issues with the study design, or if the drug simply didn’t show the desired effectiveness. They’ll work to make adjustments, refine the drug’s formulation, or in some cases, explore other alternatives by re-designing new clinical trials to evaluate the drug’s safety & efficacy for a different condition.

If none of those efforts yield a positive outcome, it’s typical to halt further development of that specific drug.

Regardless of the FDA’s decision, Co-CEO Lindborg mentioned, “We firmly believe that the data for NurOwn presented today provide a compelling case for approval, with clinical evidence in those with less advanced disease supported by strong and consistent biomarker data that are predictive of clinical response,”

Unfortunately for Lindborg, the decision does not rest with her. A panelist from the FDA, Lisa Lee, expressed, “Providing false hope can be ethically problematic and false hope is provided when the probability of a positive outcome is overestimated. And I think that seems to be the case here.”

After the devastating press release on September 27th, 2023, most of the retail crowd was on board with the FDA, mentioning it was time for BCLI to pack up, and go home – especially after seeing these comments from the FDA.

What Happened:

Amid FDA skepticism and investor uncertainties, BCLI took decisive action, securing a chance for a new phase 3 trial to showcase the effectiveness and safety of their NurOwn® technology for ALS treatment.

On October 24th, 2023, BCLI issued a press release affirming their conviction in the compelling data and expressing their intent to further substantiate it to the FDA.

More specifically, this was a “Strategic realignment” designed to:

  • Support the company plans to conduct a double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 3b U.S. clinical trial for NurOwn in ALS with an open-label extension and
  • Continue to publish data from NurOwn’s Phase 3 clinical trial on biomarkers, long-term safety, survival, and the Expanded Access Program, providing transparency around NurOwn data and progressing ALS drug development.

Big Release:

Then on November 20th, 2023, BCLI issued another press release, stating that the FDA granted them an in person meeting to discuss the regulatory path forward for NurOwn® in ALS.

Within’ the last month or so, it appears the market is HIGHLY anticipating the outcome of this meeting, given it is now scheduled to take place on December 6, 2023.  

This meeting allows BCLI to have a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA) with the FDA to agree on the overall protocol design for a confirmatory Phase 3 trial in ALS.

If you aren’t familiar with a SPA, it’s an agreement between a pharmaceutical company and the FDA regarding the design, endpoints, and size of a clinical trial intended to support a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA). This agreement aims to confirm that the trial design, data analysis, and endpoints are acceptable to the FDA for the regulatory approval process.

A favorable result from this meeting could greatly benefit BCLI, paving the way for the actual launch of NurOwn®. This outcome stands in stark contrast to the prior belief, post the September 27th, 2023 news, which led many to assume otherwise.

If the trend remains positive, BCLI could see a significant surge in valuation, given the substantially reduced risk associated with a drug nearing commercial availability.

Conclusion:

Boosting the optimism for December 6th is the heightened enthusiasm among retail investors surrounding the company. Some speculate that the surge might mirror what SNGX experienced today, on November 20th, 2023. With technical day traders and swing traders in the mix, many perceive this as the final opportunity to join the trend before it gains further momentum. It’s crucial to remain vigilant as December 6 approaches rapidly, potentially ushering BCLI into an entirely altered and positive scenario.

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Disclosure: We have not been compensated for this article/video. MicroCap Daily is not an investment advisor; this article/video does not provide investment advice. Always do your research, make your own investment decisions, or consult with your nearest financial advisor. This article/video is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. This article/video is our opinion, is meant for informational and educational purposes only, and does not provide investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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Energy & Resources

iSun, Inc (NASDAQ: ISUN) on the Rise: Recent Market Growth & Remarkable Momentum

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iSun, Inc (NASDAQ: ISUN) has experienced a significant surge of over 88% since November 22nd, 2023, with 12% of that increase observed within the current trading day. Similar to other Nasdaq-listed companies facing minimum bid requirement challenges, iSun has witnessed this remarkable upswing without any corresponding press releases or SEC filings to justify the sudden uptick. Looking further, we aim to uncover the underlying factors propelling this sudden rise by examining the company’s recent material events and financial performance, providing a comprehensive evaluation of what the future might hold for ISUN.

Background:

ISUN’s been in business since 1972, so quite a long while. After 47 years of being private, they decided to go public in June, 2019 and were previously known as The Peck Company.

Following the acquisition of ISUN, the company underwent a name change, becoming the entity known today. They have since taken the lead in integrating influential electrification technologies.

With a longstanding reputation as a reliable service partner for Fortune 500 firms, ISUN has a track record of installing various technologies, including clean rooms, fiber optic cables, flight simulators, and over 600 megawatts of solar systems.

The company offers an extensive array of solar services covering residential, commercial, industrial & municipal, as well as utility-scale projects.

Highlighting the importance of shifting towards clean, renewable solar energy, it’s worth noting that ISUN is committed to seizing profitable growth opportunities by offering solar electric vehicle charging solutions for both grid-tied and battery-backed systems.

Latest Earnings:

Unlike the last few write ups, we’re fortunate to have access to more informative press releases and SEC filings for ISUN. That said, let’s talk about their latest earnings and how the business is currently performing.

Highlights by numbers:

  • Q3 2023 revenue of $27.9 million, up 47% from Q322, as continued strong commercial and industrial execution drives growth
  • YTD revenue of $70.3 million, up 39% over first nine months of 2022
  • Gross profit of $5.4 million, up 50% from Q322
  • Gross margin of 19.45%, up 45 basis points from 19.0% in 2022’s third quarter, as benefits from synergies were offset by mix
  • Awarded $27.0 million in new solar and EV infrastructure contracts in Q3 2023, with a total of $67.0 million in first nine months of 2023
  • Continuing successful execution of growth strategy, leveraging tailwinds

Okay great, both the revenue and profit margins are moving in a positive direction. In this market, let’s be honest, what truly matters is whether this long-standing company can generate profits while tackling the substantial growth potential in renewable solar energy projects.

There’s a few things worth noting from this release, the bigger point being the heavy tailwinds pushing them into record growth this year. Their commercial and industrial division showed impressive growth, achieving a 47% revenue boost and a 45 basis point increase in margins compared to the previous year. Despite challenges due to higher interest rates for residential customers, the team remains focused on seizing opportunities driven by climate policies and growing interest among customers in alternative energy solutions.

On another front, their operating loss in Q323 was ($1.8) million, a $3 million or 64% improvement compared to a loss of ($4.9) million in Q322. The cause for this? Higher revenue and lower operating expenses.

To be frank, the majority of CEOs across various industries anticipate higher productivity with fewer resources, which can be a continual source of high stress for employees actually accomplishing the daunting dask. Nethertheless, ISUN is achieving record growth with ease…

As a final thought on operating income, their YTD loss was ($6.2) million, a $10 million or 62% reduction compared to a loss of ($16.2) million during the same period in 2022.

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Thoughts from the CEO:

“We continue to make substantial progress towards the targets we set for iSun’s performance this year, as we execute on our strategy and fulfill our commitments to investors. We remain confident that our expanded capabilities effectively address the needs of more customers and position us to accelerate our growth in the evolving alternative energy sector. Our continued success in winning significant contracts with existing and new customers reflects the appeal of our platform approach that delivers a suite of services to meet the needs of diverse customers. This year, we are also benefiting from the expertise of our team in executing efficiently on our backlog to address our customers’ needs and leveraging the relationships and partnerships we have established. Now that our country’s energy policy has been established for the next 10 years through the IRA legislation passed in 2022, we expect those factors to help us scale our operations significantly in the next few years, no matter what macroeconomic challenges may persist, and thus enable us to generate steadily higher revenue and reach operating profitability in the years ahead.”

Thoughts from Retail:

Several types of traders on Twitter are actively discussing ISUN, many with tens of thousands of followers. One in particular with a 72.1K following on Twitter, @MoonMarket_, mentions he’s accumulating for potentially larger moves ahead, based on technical trends.

@greatstockpicks and @FrankieBstock, with a combined following of 58.4K, are also actively discussing ISUN. Their sentiments lean positively, indicating that the deeper they dive into the company, the more appealing it appears.

Frankie also highlights, “Wainwright has a .50 target…given the revenue, growth, low offering risk and 161m backlog I could see it going higher but let’s focus on .50 with a stop loss around .12”.

It’s certainly encouraging to witness higher attention from influential sources discussing a stock, but it’s always crucial to conduct your own research and form an independent judgment.

Ultimately, all we can do is hope for the best regarding anyone’s analysis, even reputable analysts. While they are probably more reliable than figures like Cramer, who is often criticized for his inaccuracies concerning small-cap stocks, it’s essential not to take opinions as absolute truths.

Analyst Coverage:

As mentioned, analysts might not always be the most accurate to follow, but it’s usually reassuring when individuals with robust financial backgrounds, widespread industry connections, and expertise provide their insights on a public company.

ISUN is presently under analysis by three different firms: Alliance Global, Roth Capital Partner, and H.C. Wainwright & Co. They have set varying buy recommendations and price targets for the company, with a low, median, and high range of $0.50, $2.00, and $2.75, respectively. That’s a monumental 127.4%, 809.9%, and 1151.1% increase should ISUN meet those expectations.

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What’s Next:

ISUN seems to primarily focus its market updates on financial aspects. Upon reviewing all their 2023 releases, they consistently highlight robust execution and growth, reinforcing the anticipation of total revenue reaching $95-100 million this year, indicating a 24-31% surge compared to 2022.

As mentioned earlier, ISUN currently operates at a loss, and often experiences fluctuating quarters due to the impact of high-value contracts. These contracts can significantly influence the company’s financial results.

Thankfully, ISUN holds a total backlog of $161.8 million as of September 30, 2023, ensuring a stable revenue stream as projects are finalized. The bulk of this backlog, approximately $140.3 million, pertains to commercial and industrial applications, projected to be finished within a span of 10-18 months.

As is common with non-profitable businesses, it’s crucial to stay watchful for potential near-term dilution. Fortunately, ISUN recently secured term sheets for a non-dilutive $8 term loan, providing a reassuring stance for the time being. Should the management maintain this level of execution, achieving profitability may not be far off and would be a substantial milestone.

Regarding Nasdaq’s minimum bid requirement of $1.00, ISUN received an extension until May 2024, aiming to facilitate an organic increase in their stock price without the risk of a reverse split.

Conclusion:

With a long-standing history and a shift towards electrification technologies, ISUN’s dedication to renewable solar energy and diverse services positions it for substantial growth.

The overarching market trend aligns favourably, offering support to their endeavours, while the management team’s restructuring on cost efficiencies bode well for near term profitability. Their recent earnings demonstrated substantial revenue growth, particularly in their commercial and industrial segments where they’ve overcome significant market challenges.

In the realm of undervalued micro-cap stocks listed on the NASDAQ, ISUN emerges as a compelling candidate worth monitoring closely.

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