- Solowin Holdings (NASDAQ: SWIN) has been making headlines this week, with its stock price soaring by an impressive 94% since Monday, September 18th, 2023. This surge follows the company’s announcement of their IPO on September 6th, 2023. Despite the lack of recent filings or news updates, the stock continues to experience significant gains, and the trading frenzy shows no signs of slowing down. It’s a puzzling situation, and if you’re following this, you might be feeling a bit bewildered. Interestingly, this kind of rapid and exaggerated performance is not necessarily unusual. We’ve seen similar behaviour with others last summer, AMTD Digital (NYSE: HDK) and Top Ships (NASDAQ: TOPS) to name a couple.
About Solowin Holdings:
Before we get into what’s happening and why, here’s a little background on the company based on the prospectus and “About” section in their latest press releases.
Solowin Holdings is a Hong Kong-based brokerage firm focused on Chinese investors. They offer a wide range of financial products and services through a secure and user-friendly online platform. They are licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission for various services. Their platform provides access to over 10,000 securities and their derivatives on major exchanges like HKSE, NYSE, Nasdaq, Shanghai Stock Exchange, and Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The company is known for its financial strength and technical expertise, serving both individual and institutional investors in Hong Kong and earning recognition from users and industry experts.
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It’s important to note that Solowin is not an operating company, but a Cayman Islands holding company with operations solely conducted by its subsidiary, Solomon JFZ (Asia) Holdings Limited, a limited liability corporation incorporated in Hong Kong.
Does it sound kind of fishy? Maybe… But is that enough to stop you from making a trade based off the intense retail hype we’re seeing during after hours trading on September 21, 2023? We’ll let you decide, but as per usual, always do your own due diligence. Stocks like these could cost you, and come with a significant amount of risk.
Thoughts from Retail:
Upon our initial research, the first thing we noticed was a notable user off Twitter, “MayaTrades” who started talking about the company’s potential earlier this week.
The user has since spoken on multiple occasions about the potential short squeeze the stock offers and suggests that it could continue to trade parabolically tomorrow on September 22nd, 2023. So it could be worth keeping an eye on to track the technicals.
We stumbled upon another user’s testimonial praising Maya’s day trading approach, claiming they’ve made over $15,000 using it. However, it’s essential to keep in mind that such testimonials endorsing various trading strategies are abundant on Twitter. It’s wise to approach these claims cautiously and form your own conclusions based on thorough research and analysis.
The general idea is that the shorts on SWIN are quite substantial, according to one user off Twitter, it’s 150% of the entire float and the stock hasn’t even seen the start of the squeeze yet. If it’s already gained over 90% in four days, I’m sure you can do the math on what this user is suggesting could happen next.
“Spec play that I have a lotto sized position in. It’s China. Cashed up for 5 years, allegedly. 2M float / 14M OS. I believe insiders will run it at some point, so whether it’s weeks or months, I’m holding a small position as it mirrors the other crazy China IPO runners. Currently $2.65” stated MayaTrades on September 14th, 2023.
We’re continuing to see the narrative of “No reason to close position with the strength SWIN is seeing into close” and that it’s seen “Unbelievable strength in a bloody market”. If you look at the technicals, you can see that it flagged into close yesterday and continued with the same pattern today.
Many also believe that the company has not only overcome previous resistance levels, but also surged beyond expectations in after hours trading September 21st, 2023. The stock just recently surpassed the $5 mark, leaving the future trajectory in the upcoming trading days quite unpredictable. This rapid movement follows a trend of consistently breaking through crucial resistance levels.
Once again, it’s important to acknowledge the speculative nature of these trades, with the possibility of a complete loss of investment. However, given the heightened retail interest surrounding the stock this week, we found it relevant to take note, delving into the factors and conversations driving this wave of excitement.
Short Squeeze:
By now, it’s safe to assume that most people are familiar with the concept of a short squeeze. We’ve covered it in several previous articles. However, if you’re new to the market or unfamiliar with our daily articles, here’s a brief explanation below:
A short squeeze is a market phenomenon where the price of a stock or other asset increases rapidly and significantly. This can be triggered by a surge in demand for the asset, often caused by a large number of investors who had bet against the asset (short sellers) rushing to buy it to cover their positions and limit their losses.
Short Selling: Short selling is a trading strategy where an investor borrows shares of a stock from a broker and sells them on the market, anticipating that the stock’s price will decline.
Betting Against the Stock: Short sellers profit when the stock price falls. They aim to buy back the shares at a lower price later to return them to the lender (broker), pocketing the difference.
Potential Losses and Squeeze: However, if the stock price starts to rise instead of fall, short sellers face potential losses. As the price climbs, they may feel pressured to buy the shares back to cut their losses, adding to the buying pressure in the market.
Buying to Cover: To exit their short positions, short sellers buy shares (covering their shorts) on the open market. This buying activity further drives up the stock price, as demand increases.
Feedback Loop: As the stock price rises due to increased buying from short sellers trying to cover their positions, it can trigger more short sellers to cover, creating a feedback loop of buying and price escalation.
Rapid Price Increase: The sudden increase in demand can lead to a sharp and swift rise in the stock price, catching short sellers off guard and forcing them to buy at higher prices to close their positions.
Magnitude and Duration: The extent and duration of a short squeeze can vary. It could be a short-lived spike or a more prolonged increase in the stock price, depending on the level of short interest, overall market conditions, and the availability of shares for shorting.
Short squeezes often attract significant attention and can result in substantial gains for those holding long positions, while causing substantial losses to short sellers, further fueling the market dynamics.
We will update you on SWIN when more details emerge, subscribe to Microcapdaily to follow along!
Disclosure: We have not been compensated for this article/video. MicroCap Daily is not an investment advisor; this article/video does not provide investment advice. Always do your research, make your own investment decisions, or consult with your nearest financial advisor. This article/video is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. This article/video is our opinion, is meant for informational and educational purposes only, and does not provide investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
Picture by sergeitokmakov from Pixabay.com
Steve Reinharz
July 20, 2018 at 6:30 pm
OMVS is now Artificial Intelligence Technology Systems per name change in Nevada in May 2018. Robert Wilson is no longer the CEO and the focus of the company is no longer trucking – focus is delivery of a security/concierge hardware/software solution that we believe can change the paradigm of operations in guarding and physical security.